This is a preview. Log in through your library . Abstract In this paper we offer a mathematical definition for the probability of causation that formalizes the legal and ordinary-language meaning of ...

In a simple model for sports, the probability A beats B is a specified function of their difference in strength. One might think this would be a staple topic in Applied Probability textbooks (like the ...

Analysts have raised their expectations of a recession in America's near future. A prediction model from the global financial services firm JPMorgan Chase, analyzed by Bloomberg, suggests that the ...

The probability model, which incorporates a variety of factors ranging from housing permits and consumer survey data to the gap between 10-year and 3-month Treasury yields, is now flashing a 38% ...

We project that in the next six weeks, the probability of a U.S. recession getting started in the next twelve months will be ...